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Epidemic Spreading in Contact Networks Based on Exposure Level |
| DUAN Wen-Qi1;CHEN Zhong1;LIU Zeng-Rong2 |
| 1School of Management, Shanghai Jiao Tong University, Shanghai 200052
2Department of Mathematics, Shanghai University, Shanghai 201800 |
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| Cite this article: |
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DUAN Wen-Qi, CHEN Zhong, LIU Zeng-Rong 2006 Chin. Phys. Lett. 23 1347-1350 |
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Abstract Most epidemic models for the spread of diseases in contact networks take the assumption of the infected probability of a susceptible agent dependent on its absolute number of infectious neighbours. We introduce a new epidemic model in which the infected probability of a susceptible agent in contact networks depends not on its degree but on its exposure level. We find that effective average infection rate -λ (i.e., the average number of infections produced by a single contact between infected individuals and susceptible individuals) has an epidemic threshold -λc=1, which is related to recovery rate, epidemic mechanisms and topology of contact network. Furthermore, we show the dominating importance of epidemic mechanisms in determining epidemic patterns and discussed the implications of our model for infection control policy.
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Published: 01 May 2006
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